Post by Lasagna and tears of failure on Jun 3, 2020 7:39:02 GMT -8
Red’s Rookie recap RPEF
Well, this is the final chapter in the 01 draft class for Red. I gotta tell ya, while trade activity is great for the league, it makes doing a long term look at the draft an utter nightmare.
As we all remember the initial list had:
Manu
Arenas
Pau
Joe J
As the top 4, AK was only ahead of Diop and Tinsley as the bottom 3.
Fast forward to just after the Allstar break and the top 4 were
JJ
Randolph
Nocioni
Manu
In doing some critical analysis I realized limited minutes were making players into popcorn, as they were playing against scrubs. The formula has been updated to stop this from happening, scratch Nocioni and add Pau back to the list.
Tinsley was still bringing up the rear for consistency.
So now that we walked down memory lane, lets get to what really matters, and after a season how do theses guys line up? Of course the microwave players are stopped from inflation on the new RPEF so we will no longer having players like Nocioni “look” to be good.
The RPEF is ever changing but right now if your guy is under 18 RPEF best hope they have good potential. 16-17.99 is solid but don’t write home to mom as all they are is filler. And if they have that rating with < 26 minPg just know that you are starting to get into the apples and oranges area, cause those guys just play against backups.
The 00 rookies, only 4 guys that played in the rookie game made it above the Magliorean line… and the fact the number 1 guy is a PG, damn… he is nice.
Now we get back to the 01 class, and Manu and Joe were the cream of the cream. The one thing I found ironic was I hemmed and hawed over Jefferson and Battier during the draft and Battier ended up being slightly better.
For those that do not read ever article I write little history about the RPEF:*
I looked at the PER formula by John Hollinger, and realized while I would not mind programming it, doing it in excel would blow chunks. So I looked at combining a basic version of his idea with the outdated ( (ppg+R+A+B+S-TO) to come up with a rating that not only rewarded a good EFT, but also penalized people from missing fee points. I’m sure Shaq hates this formula that I developed. While it really hurt his points portion of the formula, his nonstop rebounding and the best assist per game rate of any of the Centers has him as one of the best Centers in the game. Now to validate the formula I looked at historical data of some of the best players to ever play the game and then further tweaked the formula to reward steals a tad more than blocks as a block doesn’t automatically cause a turnover. At no point was the PEF copied or tweaked, just a few ideas about what he has done. That said assists are going even more down in value that they have now.
*pretty sure articles aren’t read in their entirety often as I keep finding horrible grammar errors that NO ONE points out.
Fast forward to just after the Allstar break and the top 4 were
JJ
Randolph
Nocioni
Manu
In doing some critical analysis I realized limited minutes were making players into popcorn, as they were playing against scrubs. The formula has been updated to stop this from happening, scratch Nocioni and add Pau back to the list.
Tinsley was still bringing up the rear for consistency.
So now that we walked down memory lane, lets get to what really matters, and after a season how do theses guys line up? Of course the microwave players are stopped from inflation on the new RPEF so we will no longer having players like Nocioni “look” to be good.
The RPEF is ever changing but right now if your guy is under 18 RPEF best hope they have good potential. 16-17.99 is solid but don’t write home to mom as all they are is filler. And if they have that rating with < 26 minPg just know that you are starting to get into the apples and oranges area, cause those guys just play against backups.
The 00 rookies, only 4 guys that played in the rookie game made it above the Magliorean line… and the fact the number 1 guy is a PG, damn… he is nice.
Now we get back to the 01 class, and Manu and Joe were the cream of the cream. The one thing I found ironic was I hemmed and hawed over Jefferson and Battier during the draft and Battier ended up being slightly better.
For those that do not read ever article I write little history about the RPEF:*
I looked at the PER formula by John Hollinger, and realized while I would not mind programming it, doing it in excel would blow chunks. So I looked at combining a basic version of his idea with the outdated ( (ppg+R+A+B+S-TO) to come up with a rating that not only rewarded a good EFT, but also penalized people from missing fee points. I’m sure Shaq hates this formula that I developed. While it really hurt his points portion of the formula, his nonstop rebounding and the best assist per game rate of any of the Centers has him as one of the best Centers in the game. Now to validate the formula I looked at historical data of some of the best players to ever play the game and then further tweaked the formula to reward steals a tad more than blocks as a block doesn’t automatically cause a turnover. At no point was the PEF copied or tweaked, just a few ideas about what he has done. That said assists are going even more down in value that they have now.
*pretty sure articles aren’t read in their entirety often as I keep finding horrible grammar errors that NO ONE points out.
