Post by Braz on Mar 27, 2022 11:51:29 GMT -8
As an NJ Guy it feels right for me to look into my former home town team (before they moved to BK 
). Fun fact: when I was in 8th grade my team went to a Nets game in which I did the Hi 5s line with the VC + Kidd Nets and Jay z and Beyonce were 15 feet from me. That was all great till Hova pushed the Nets to BK along with the Russian dude who I now understand is an oligarch. After reading a bit more it seems Putin actually made him sell the team before taking Crimea, if true that is pretty historically revenant to our current day. But long story short that all ruined the Nets for me. Anyways back to the SIM Nets.
We have the Nets coming up on another CY but this time with famed GM Marty at the helm. I have time on a Sunday morning for the first time in weeks so am excited to write up an article that I think will be cool, but I am sure someone like Brophdog88 could do better in future with the right data! Anyways hope yall enjoy!
My goal here is to take the Nets proposed DC/Roster and look at that vs the teams in their Division and make some assumptions on where they win and lose matchups to crawl closer to that glorious 42 win total.
The Nets have a nearly filled out roster with leftover FA on the way take a look at the first posted DC below!
The DC:
c Brown / Crumble / Brown
pf Matic / Domingo / Crumble
sf coleman / kiki / coleman
sg kennedy /kiki / coleman
pg ball / kiki / ball
Options
Kennedy
Kiki
Coleman
Pace Fast
Trap Sometimes
Pres Often
Focus Outside
Lets assume KiKi is actually his dad Ernie Vandeweghe
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
So first lets dive into the Nets roster itself. During the offseason the Nets lost scoring vet Cam Thomas to retirement but past that they have a vastly improved roster year over year, but will it be enough? The team had an overall -7 TC, 4th worst in the league per BD88 Database. Not ideal but does not mean they are necessary doomed. Marty isn't trying to build a long term team but get through this year and prove the haters wrong. He took over one of the worst spots in league history after Breaks last CY and has made moves to improve, some may call his approach unconventional but to each their own. Looking a the above DC I would say I am very surprised the team focus is outside considering the talent vs balance. Options Kennedy (33%), Kiki (43%) and Coleman (42%) are not the best 3 point shooters but certainly not the worst. But when you look at what Lamelo and Domingo can contribute you assume balanced non option but still capable of 20+ each. The team has strong rebounding from Brown/ Ezra and Matic is one of the league's best stock players. Just 2 seasons ago Matic had 4.2 stocks per game with nearly 11 boards. If he produces near that we could say that's a top value big. In summary I do not hate Marty's roster as much as most seem to but it does not look yet like a title contender so 42 is doable but not a lock! Now to the Division games.
Atlantic Division
As the Nets face off with each team in the division 4 times he might just be lucky he is not in the Central. Other than Miami the Nets could beat those other teams in a series if things go right. They could struggle vs the Knicks and Magic but the rest is a toss up! Let's look a bit deeper.
Miami Heat
It will hard to expect the Nets to match up well with the defending champs. I mean it will be hard for anyone to match up with this team. One could argue that the Heat have the advantage at all starting 5 positions. Matic might be able to slow Mel down but not stop him, and we know Noble will have his day against under sized Kyle Kennedy.
Nets vs MIA Prediction 1-3
New York Knicks
The Knicks have been vocally self critical about their potential lack of scoring but this is a very interesting roster which could set a stocks record with that roster. I thought Barnes was going to get run at PG but Loty STOCKS Doty is here to run the point for now with AL Stocks Bennet at the 2. The rest of this roster is very cool with Hicks (Stocks), Eddie (Stocks), Chet (Stocks). Scottie will fill in ALL the gaps backing up 1-5. I think the nets match up well here but it really could go either way. If the Nets can outscore NYK this could be a split.
Nets vs Knicks Prediction 2-2 series split
Washington Wizards
I have no idea what the Wiz plan is this year. Jah usually doesn't like to tank but after Hardy retired it could be the perfect time to rebuild both for the Wiz and for the interest of the Nets. Other than having strong bigs and signing JL Parks and Lou Leonard the Wiz seem to be average. Maybe slightly above but maybe slightly below? I think the Nets are in a good spot to outscore the Nets and if Jah trades a big or two to bottom out he could even go for a sweep.
Nets vs Wizards Predication 3-1
/vidio-web-prod-video/uploads/video/image/1999524/match-highlight-brooklyn-nets-118-vs-110-washington-wizards-nba-regular-season-2019-20-f9042a.jpg)
Orlando Magic
The Magic are a team capable of winning games but also might float around the middle of pack for another year. They took on the big kuminga deal which is limiting some flexibility but the massive improvement from Ramsey could help accelerate Galo's plans. I see the Magic as a better team with former top pick Dolph. The Magic filled out their depth pretty well in the draft as well. I see Marty winning the match up here with at PG with Ball potentially doing well vs Alf. But Ramsey, Dolph and Yardley seem to be an advantage for Magic. Kuminga could even take over at the 3 letting George be a 6 man. Magic have options! Pre season should bring more clarity here but for now advantage Orlando
Nets vs Magic Predication 1-3
Boston Celtics
Well I think we know where this one is going. Break is still rebuilding and that gives his former team a pretty good situation to capitalize. A 22 win team last year during the Bill Russel Draft that really only added rookie Guy Sparrow and Max should not fair much better. FBB will have random results time to time where the Celtics could steal one but I think these games are must win for NJ.
Nets vs Celtics Predication 4-0
Philadelphia 76ers
Lums is assumed to be bottoming out this year but signed a bunch of players who prob wont be easy to move to achieve a perfect tank, at least he has fillers for next year? Will the additions of AO, RJ, a random PG and the return of Zaine prevent them from bottom 5? I think the team is still pretty bad but enough talent to steal a game here or there. From a match up standpoint one would think the Nets are better across the board and I think that is true. They should outrebound the 76ers by a lot as well. That all being said I do think there is more of a chance of the Sixers and in particular RJ stealing one but maybe not. It would be ideal for Marty to sweep here but my prediction is not that.
Nets vs Sixers Prediction 3-1
So based off the above assumptions we are now done with division play. If the above is correct the Nets are standing at a projected 14-10 in division or a 58% winning percentage which is pretty darn good if you only need to win 51% or make playoffs. This should give the foundation to be successful and likely finish third in the division. The Pacific Division is obviously going to be a challenge as Marty faces the entire Pacific 4 times except for the Bucks and Cavs who he plays 3x.
Best of luck to @cmart !
). Fun fact: when I was in 8th grade my team went to a Nets game in which I did the Hi 5s line with the VC + Kidd Nets and Jay z and Beyonce were 15 feet from me. That was all great till Hova pushed the Nets to BK along with the Russian dude who I now understand is an oligarch. After reading a bit more it seems Putin actually made him sell the team before taking Crimea, if true that is pretty historically revenant to our current day. But long story short that all ruined the Nets for me. Anyways back to the SIM Nets. We have the Nets coming up on another CY but this time with famed GM Marty at the helm. I have time on a Sunday morning for the first time in weeks so am excited to write up an article that I think will be cool, but I am sure someone like Brophdog88 could do better in future with the right data! Anyways hope yall enjoy!
My goal here is to take the Nets proposed DC/Roster and look at that vs the teams in their Division and make some assumptions on where they win and lose matchups to crawl closer to that glorious 42 win total.
The Nets have a nearly filled out roster with leftover FA on the way take a look at the first posted DC below!
The DC:
c Brown / Crumble / Brown
pf Matic / Domingo / Crumble
sf coleman / kiki / coleman
sg kennedy /kiki / coleman
pg ball / kiki / ball
Options
Kennedy
Kiki
Coleman
Pace Fast
Trap Sometimes
Pres Often
Focus Outside
Lets assume KiKi is actually his dad Ernie Vandeweghe
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
So first lets dive into the Nets roster itself. During the offseason the Nets lost scoring vet Cam Thomas to retirement but past that they have a vastly improved roster year over year, but will it be enough? The team had an overall -7 TC, 4th worst in the league per BD88 Database. Not ideal but does not mean they are necessary doomed. Marty isn't trying to build a long term team but get through this year and prove the haters wrong. He took over one of the worst spots in league history after Breaks last CY and has made moves to improve, some may call his approach unconventional but to each their own. Looking a the above DC I would say I am very surprised the team focus is outside considering the talent vs balance. Options Kennedy (33%), Kiki (43%) and Coleman (42%) are not the best 3 point shooters but certainly not the worst. But when you look at what Lamelo and Domingo can contribute you assume balanced non option but still capable of 20+ each. The team has strong rebounding from Brown/ Ezra and Matic is one of the league's best stock players. Just 2 seasons ago Matic had 4.2 stocks per game with nearly 11 boards. If he produces near that we could say that's a top value big. In summary I do not hate Marty's roster as much as most seem to but it does not look yet like a title contender so 42 is doable but not a lock! Now to the Division games.
Atlantic Division
As the Nets face off with each team in the division 4 times he might just be lucky he is not in the Central. Other than Miami the Nets could beat those other teams in a series if things go right. They could struggle vs the Knicks and Magic but the rest is a toss up! Let's look a bit deeper.
Miami Heat
It will hard to expect the Nets to match up well with the defending champs. I mean it will be hard for anyone to match up with this team. One could argue that the Heat have the advantage at all starting 5 positions. Matic might be able to slow Mel down but not stop him, and we know Noble will have his day against under sized Kyle Kennedy.
Nets vs MIA Prediction 1-3
New York Knicks
The Knicks have been vocally self critical about their potential lack of scoring but this is a very interesting roster which could set a stocks record with that roster. I thought Barnes was going to get run at PG but Loty STOCKS Doty is here to run the point for now with AL Stocks Bennet at the 2. The rest of this roster is very cool with Hicks (Stocks), Eddie (Stocks), Chet (Stocks). Scottie will fill in ALL the gaps backing up 1-5. I think the nets match up well here but it really could go either way. If the Nets can outscore NYK this could be a split.
Nets vs Knicks Prediction 2-2 series split
Washington Wizards
I have no idea what the Wiz plan is this year. Jah usually doesn't like to tank but after Hardy retired it could be the perfect time to rebuild both for the Wiz and for the interest of the Nets. Other than having strong bigs and signing JL Parks and Lou Leonard the Wiz seem to be average. Maybe slightly above but maybe slightly below? I think the Nets are in a good spot to outscore the Nets and if Jah trades a big or two to bottom out he could even go for a sweep.
Nets vs Wizards Predication 3-1
Orlando Magic
The Magic are a team capable of winning games but also might float around the middle of pack for another year. They took on the big kuminga deal which is limiting some flexibility but the massive improvement from Ramsey could help accelerate Galo's plans. I see the Magic as a better team with former top pick Dolph. The Magic filled out their depth pretty well in the draft as well. I see Marty winning the match up here with at PG with Ball potentially doing well vs Alf. But Ramsey, Dolph and Yardley seem to be an advantage for Magic. Kuminga could even take over at the 3 letting George be a 6 man. Magic have options! Pre season should bring more clarity here but for now advantage Orlando
Nets vs Magic Predication 1-3
Boston Celtics
Well I think we know where this one is going. Break is still rebuilding and that gives his former team a pretty good situation to capitalize. A 22 win team last year during the Bill Russel Draft that really only added rookie Guy Sparrow and Max should not fair much better. FBB will have random results time to time where the Celtics could steal one but I think these games are must win for NJ.
Nets vs Celtics Predication 4-0
Philadelphia 76ers
Lums is assumed to be bottoming out this year but signed a bunch of players who prob wont be easy to move to achieve a perfect tank, at least he has fillers for next year? Will the additions of AO, RJ, a random PG and the return of Zaine prevent them from bottom 5? I think the team is still pretty bad but enough talent to steal a game here or there. From a match up standpoint one would think the Nets are better across the board and I think that is true. They should outrebound the 76ers by a lot as well. That all being said I do think there is more of a chance of the Sixers and in particular RJ stealing one but maybe not. It would be ideal for Marty to sweep here but my prediction is not that.
Nets vs Sixers Prediction 3-1
So based off the above assumptions we are now done with division play. If the above is correct the Nets are standing at a projected 14-10 in division or a 58% winning percentage which is pretty darn good if you only need to win 51% or make playoffs. This should give the foundation to be successful and likely finish third in the division. The Pacific Division is obviously going to be a challenge as Marty faces the entire Pacific 4 times except for the Bucks and Cavs who he plays 3x.
Best of luck to @cmart !
