Post by Galo on Jul 25, 2020 10:40:47 GMT -8
2006 Mock Lotto Preview
*Based on Day 45 standings and best available player rankings*
Will it be BRoy or LMA announced as the top selection in 06’?
1- Atlanta Hawks- Brandon Roy
SG 6'6'' 215 22 B B B+ C C B Washington
Analysis- BRoy is the presumptive top choice in 2006 for being the next major wing scorer in the league. Roy is highly versatile with his scoring abilities and fundamentally sound in other areas aside from defense, where he should get a decent amount of steals and blocks for a guard. Tremendous ball handler and should not have a significant turnover issue (career 1.8 TOPG in the NBA, 2.1 at Washington). Overall, if the Hawks break the cycle of losing in the lotto, the former Husky seems like the logical choice at #1.
Projected rookie stat line- 18 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 4.5 APG, 1.1 SPG, 44.8% FG
2- New Jersey Nets- LaMarcus Aldridge
C 6'11'' 260 21 B C D+ C+ C+ A Texas
Analysis- LMA slips to #2 in this mock for not being as polished as Roy coming out of Texas. At 6’11, Aldridge is exceptionally gifted and efficient in the post with a variety of step backs and jumpers. A very good ball handler – Aldridge posted 2 APG versus 1.6 TOPG career in the NBA and a decent STOCKS ratio as well. The only issues glaring appear to be his motor/energy, not a a great rebounder at the moment and just an average to below average post defender right now but all those issues can be resolved. The Nets would gladly snag the former LongHorn if they’re picking at #2.
Projected rookie stat line- 16.1 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 2.1 APG, 1.1 BPG, 48.7% FG
3- Denver Nuggets- Rajon Rondo
PG 6'1'' 186 20 C+ C B B+ C A Kentucky
Analysis- In most other years, Rondo would be in contention for the top slot in the draft but in 06’ he drops to #3. He should be an elite ball handler and defender after a good TC or two – as he’s been one of the top assists and steals leaders in the NBA. There’s obviously big questions about his shooting ability and if he can consistently hit an open jumper. The C rebounding though to start is huge for a 20 year old point guard which puts him in the top 3.
Projected rookie stat line- 11.4 PPG, 8 APG, 5.5 RPG, 1.9 SPG, 42.9% FG
4- Milwaukee Bucks- Kyle Lowry
6'0'' 196 20 B- B- C+ C C A Villanova
Analysis- You can most certainly make an argument for Lowry at #3 but his defense kind of puts him out of the conversation. If you’re looking for a score first point guard, Lowry should fit the bill. He has not been an efficient shooter in the NBA but has volume and can hit the 3 PT with ease as he’s a career 36% shooter. Stocks to turnovers might be an issue for Lowry as his NBA comps don’t show much promise there but his superb scoring ability should keep him in the top 5.
Projected rookie stat line- 17.7 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 6.1 APG, 1.2 SPG 43.5% FG 37% 3PT
5- Indiana Pacers- PJ Tucker
PF 6'5'' 245 21 C+ B C- B C+ A Texas
Analysis- This is where the draft gets tricky in my opinion as you can go some many directions. Tucker seems like the safest choice here – I can imagine a scenario where he’s moved to SF and goes up to B+ defense and dominates with his strength plus C+ boards rating. If you camp his inside, he can get you some volume he can be a really nice wing potentially coupled with his low passing/high handling. By his NBA comp, he’s not an elite stocks guy but should be a premier man to man defender.
Projected rookie stat line- 14.5 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 1.4 SPG, 44.4% FG 38% 3PT
6- Boston Celtics- Paul Millsap
PF 6'7'' 250 21 B- C C B- B B Louisiana Tech
Analysis- Millsap seems like the best choice at #6. Very efficient scorer down low, developing jumper and range and he’s an above average rebounder at PF already. Millsap is also a really good STOCKS guy per his NBA comp and doesn’t get a ton of turnovers. The main concerns with Millsap are his man to man defense where he gets a ton of fouls (3.1 per game in NBA) and lack of perceived upside which pushes him outside the top 5 in my opinion.
Projected rookie stat line- 14.4 PPG, 7.1 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.1 BPG, 46.1% FG 31% 3PT
7- Memphis Grizzlies- Rudy Gay
SF 6'8'' 230 20 B- C+ C C+ C A UConn
Analysis- I really like Rudy as a BBS player as he always historically been a really good wing and can probably make a good case for him going top 5. But, his starting ratings look so balanced – it makes you wonder how much potential he has (could be loaded?). Balanced scorer with some good range on his 3-ball, gets a good amount of steals and blocks so should be above average in stocks – however my main problem with Gay is his turnovers look problematic but let’s wait to see if the notes say anything about that his handles. If the Grizz stay at #7, it will be interesting to see if they move this pick, take Gay or go a different way.
Projected rookie stat line- 16.7 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 1.4 SPG, 1.0 BPG, 45.7% FG 33% 3PT
8- Toronto Raptors- Lior Eliyahu
SF 6'9'' 225 21 C+ B- A+ C C B Israel
Analysis- I think on intrigue alone – you have to be thinking Lior in the top 10. To me, he looks like the 21 year version of Scottie Pippen without the defense and more passing, so your prototypical point-forward. Lior’s ability to create with the ball on the hands and get looks for his teammates looks elite coming into the league day 1. His profile shows he’s athletic and can get to the hoop with ease and has a good jumper that has to be respected. If you camp his defense and inside, he projects to be a special player if he doesn’t turnover issues and maybe a classic 1-3 backup if he’s not starting.
Projected rookie stat line- 13.1 PPG, 8.1 APG, 6.5 RPG, 1 SPG, 47.3% FG
9- Seattle Super Sonics - JJ Redick
SG 6'3'' 200 22 C A- D+ C D+ A Duke
Analysis- JJ should be the best shooter in the draft aside from Steve Novak so could be great for any team picking lotto looking for 3PT production. His defense and rebounding leave a lot to be desired but could be a tremendous asset in an outside-oriented system. Could Redick get to Allan Houston status and be only the 2nd player with A+ outside? It might be possible depending on TCs and camps.
Projected rookie stat line- 12.1 PPG, 2.1 APG, 3.1 RPG, 1 SPG, 48.3% FG 42% 3PT
10- Orlando Magic- Andrea Bargnani
C 7'0'' 245 21 B- B- D+ C C A Italy
Analysis- Bargnani could be a very interesting player if he’s got a lot of potential loaded into him. He looks like a Memo Okur without the rebounding or defense right now but maybe you can develop that into his game since his offensive repertoire looks pretty polished already. I like Bargs as a top 10 pick for the right team looking to hit a home run.
Projected rookie stat line- 15.8 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 1.1 BPG 44.6% FG
11- Orlando Magic (from Rockets)- Tyrus Thomas
PF 6'9'' 215 20 C+ C D+ B- C A LSU
Analysis- Ty looks like a tweener big coming out of LSU and might be suited better for the SF spot as that looks like his brightest path in BBS. His C+ inside rating looks like it’s a lot of jumping but he has a 7’3 wing span so he’ll get you blocks which puts him in the lotto mix. The former SEC Co-Defensive player of the year can be a plus STOCKS player in the lineup which should get him looks at the tail end of top 13.
Projected rookie stat line- 10.1 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 1.4 BPG, 0.8 SPG, 48% FG%
12- Golden State Warriors (from Lakers)- Adam Morrison
SF 6'8'' 205 22 B- B+ D+ D D+ C Gonzaga
Analysis- If you’re looking for a big risk-reward guy that could be former Bulldog Adam Morrison in this year’s draft. Is he the next Christian Drejer or Dejan Bodiroga? If he has a very low ceiling, I believe that’s what he’s projected to look like potentially. But, with these starting ratings, I don’t think you can pass on Morrison in lotto, but it’s definitely a gamble.
Projected rookie stat line- 14.1 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 1.2 BPG 45.7% FG 41% 3PT
13- New Jersey Nets (from Mavs)- Renaldo Balkman
SF 6'8'' 208 22 B C- C- B B- B South Carolina
Analysis- Balkman could potentially go in the top 10 just based on his ratings but falls out due to ceiling concerns. He has really nice starting ratings but there’s at least 5-6 wings better than him in this class. The former Gamecock wing has an elite motor and strong inside game but maybe a large chunk of that is jumping? He doesn’t have a lot of range but should be a decent STOCKS guy and an above average rebounder at SF.
Projected rookie stat line- 11.8 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 1.4 BPG 42.3% FG
*Based on Day 45 standings and best available player rankings*
Will it be BRoy or LMA announced as the top selection in 06’?
1- Atlanta Hawks- Brandon Roy
SG 6'6'' 215 22 B B B+ C C B Washington
Analysis- BRoy is the presumptive top choice in 2006 for being the next major wing scorer in the league. Roy is highly versatile with his scoring abilities and fundamentally sound in other areas aside from defense, where he should get a decent amount of steals and blocks for a guard. Tremendous ball handler and should not have a significant turnover issue (career 1.8 TOPG in the NBA, 2.1 at Washington). Overall, if the Hawks break the cycle of losing in the lotto, the former Husky seems like the logical choice at #1.
Projected rookie stat line- 18 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 4.5 APG, 1.1 SPG, 44.8% FG
2- New Jersey Nets- LaMarcus Aldridge
C 6'11'' 260 21 B C D+ C+ C+ A Texas
Analysis- LMA slips to #2 in this mock for not being as polished as Roy coming out of Texas. At 6’11, Aldridge is exceptionally gifted and efficient in the post with a variety of step backs and jumpers. A very good ball handler – Aldridge posted 2 APG versus 1.6 TOPG career in the NBA and a decent STOCKS ratio as well. The only issues glaring appear to be his motor/energy, not a a great rebounder at the moment and just an average to below average post defender right now but all those issues can be resolved. The Nets would gladly snag the former LongHorn if they’re picking at #2.
Projected rookie stat line- 16.1 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 2.1 APG, 1.1 BPG, 48.7% FG
3- Denver Nuggets- Rajon Rondo
PG 6'1'' 186 20 C+ C B B+ C A Kentucky
Analysis- In most other years, Rondo would be in contention for the top slot in the draft but in 06’ he drops to #3. He should be an elite ball handler and defender after a good TC or two – as he’s been one of the top assists and steals leaders in the NBA. There’s obviously big questions about his shooting ability and if he can consistently hit an open jumper. The C rebounding though to start is huge for a 20 year old point guard which puts him in the top 3.
Projected rookie stat line- 11.4 PPG, 8 APG, 5.5 RPG, 1.9 SPG, 42.9% FG
4- Milwaukee Bucks- Kyle Lowry
6'0'' 196 20 B- B- C+ C C A Villanova
Analysis- You can most certainly make an argument for Lowry at #3 but his defense kind of puts him out of the conversation. If you’re looking for a score first point guard, Lowry should fit the bill. He has not been an efficient shooter in the NBA but has volume and can hit the 3 PT with ease as he’s a career 36% shooter. Stocks to turnovers might be an issue for Lowry as his NBA comps don’t show much promise there but his superb scoring ability should keep him in the top 5.
Projected rookie stat line- 17.7 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 6.1 APG, 1.2 SPG 43.5% FG 37% 3PT
5- Indiana Pacers- PJ Tucker
PF 6'5'' 245 21 C+ B C- B C+ A Texas
Analysis- This is where the draft gets tricky in my opinion as you can go some many directions. Tucker seems like the safest choice here – I can imagine a scenario where he’s moved to SF and goes up to B+ defense and dominates with his strength plus C+ boards rating. If you camp his inside, he can get you some volume he can be a really nice wing potentially coupled with his low passing/high handling. By his NBA comp, he’s not an elite stocks guy but should be a premier man to man defender.
Projected rookie stat line- 14.5 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 1.4 SPG, 44.4% FG 38% 3PT
6- Boston Celtics- Paul Millsap
PF 6'7'' 250 21 B- C C B- B B Louisiana Tech
Analysis- Millsap seems like the best choice at #6. Very efficient scorer down low, developing jumper and range and he’s an above average rebounder at PF already. Millsap is also a really good STOCKS guy per his NBA comp and doesn’t get a ton of turnovers. The main concerns with Millsap are his man to man defense where he gets a ton of fouls (3.1 per game in NBA) and lack of perceived upside which pushes him outside the top 5 in my opinion.
Projected rookie stat line- 14.4 PPG, 7.1 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.1 BPG, 46.1% FG 31% 3PT
7- Memphis Grizzlies- Rudy Gay
SF 6'8'' 230 20 B- C+ C C+ C A UConn
Analysis- I really like Rudy as a BBS player as he always historically been a really good wing and can probably make a good case for him going top 5. But, his starting ratings look so balanced – it makes you wonder how much potential he has (could be loaded?). Balanced scorer with some good range on his 3-ball, gets a good amount of steals and blocks so should be above average in stocks – however my main problem with Gay is his turnovers look problematic but let’s wait to see if the notes say anything about that his handles. If the Grizz stay at #7, it will be interesting to see if they move this pick, take Gay or go a different way.
Projected rookie stat line- 16.7 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 1.4 SPG, 1.0 BPG, 45.7% FG 33% 3PT
8- Toronto Raptors- Lior Eliyahu
SF 6'9'' 225 21 C+ B- A+ C C B Israel
Analysis- I think on intrigue alone – you have to be thinking Lior in the top 10. To me, he looks like the 21 year version of Scottie Pippen without the defense and more passing, so your prototypical point-forward. Lior’s ability to create with the ball on the hands and get looks for his teammates looks elite coming into the league day 1. His profile shows he’s athletic and can get to the hoop with ease and has a good jumper that has to be respected. If you camp his defense and inside, he projects to be a special player if he doesn’t turnover issues and maybe a classic 1-3 backup if he’s not starting.
Projected rookie stat line- 13.1 PPG, 8.1 APG, 6.5 RPG, 1 SPG, 47.3% FG
9- Seattle Super Sonics - JJ Redick
SG 6'3'' 200 22 C A- D+ C D+ A Duke
Analysis- JJ should be the best shooter in the draft aside from Steve Novak so could be great for any team picking lotto looking for 3PT production. His defense and rebounding leave a lot to be desired but could be a tremendous asset in an outside-oriented system. Could Redick get to Allan Houston status and be only the 2nd player with A+ outside? It might be possible depending on TCs and camps.
Projected rookie stat line- 12.1 PPG, 2.1 APG, 3.1 RPG, 1 SPG, 48.3% FG 42% 3PT
10- Orlando Magic- Andrea Bargnani
C 7'0'' 245 21 B- B- D+ C C A Italy
Analysis- Bargnani could be a very interesting player if he’s got a lot of potential loaded into him. He looks like a Memo Okur without the rebounding or defense right now but maybe you can develop that into his game since his offensive repertoire looks pretty polished already. I like Bargs as a top 10 pick for the right team looking to hit a home run.
Projected rookie stat line- 15.8 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 1.1 BPG 44.6% FG
11- Orlando Magic (from Rockets)- Tyrus Thomas
PF 6'9'' 215 20 C+ C D+ B- C A LSU
Analysis- Ty looks like a tweener big coming out of LSU and might be suited better for the SF spot as that looks like his brightest path in BBS. His C+ inside rating looks like it’s a lot of jumping but he has a 7’3 wing span so he’ll get you blocks which puts him in the lotto mix. The former SEC Co-Defensive player of the year can be a plus STOCKS player in the lineup which should get him looks at the tail end of top 13.
Projected rookie stat line- 10.1 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 1.4 BPG, 0.8 SPG, 48% FG%
12- Golden State Warriors (from Lakers)- Adam Morrison
SF 6'8'' 205 22 B- B+ D+ D D+ C Gonzaga
Analysis- If you’re looking for a big risk-reward guy that could be former Bulldog Adam Morrison in this year’s draft. Is he the next Christian Drejer or Dejan Bodiroga? If he has a very low ceiling, I believe that’s what he’s projected to look like potentially. But, with these starting ratings, I don’t think you can pass on Morrison in lotto, but it’s definitely a gamble.
Projected rookie stat line- 14.1 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 1.2 BPG 45.7% FG 41% 3PT
13- New Jersey Nets (from Mavs)- Renaldo Balkman
SF 6'8'' 208 22 B C- C- B B- B South Carolina
Analysis- Balkman could potentially go in the top 10 just based on his ratings but falls out due to ceiling concerns. He has really nice starting ratings but there’s at least 5-6 wings better than him in this class. The former Gamecock wing has an elite motor and strong inside game but maybe a large chunk of that is jumping? He doesn’t have a lot of range but should be a decent STOCKS guy and an above average rebounder at SF.
Projected rookie stat line- 11.8 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 1.4 BPG 42.3% FG
